The article “Near-Surface Temperature Climate Change in the Caspian Region: : A Study Using Meteorological Station Data, Reanalyses, and CMIP6 Models” was published in the journal “Climate” (MDPI) (IF 3.2, CiteScore 5.7) in collaboration with the head of the Caspian Sea Hydrometeorology Department, Doctor of Sciences Said Safarov and senior researcher of the department, PhD Elnur Safarov.  

This article, the result of a joint study by scientists from Russia, Azerbaijan, and Iran, analyzes the climate variability of near-surface  temperature (NSAT) in the Caspian region. The analysis is based on data from NOAA OISSTv2 satellites, ECMWF ERA5, NASA MERRA-2, and NCEP/NCAR atmospheric reanalysis, as well as the results of 33 Earth system models (SMIP6 ESM), and a comparison of meteorological station data.

Forecasts of possible temperature changes for the period up to the end of the 21st century are made based on these comparisons and existing climate scenarios.